Is Home Field Advanatge Real or a Myth
Home field/court advantage has been fought over for years in the world of sports. Some people say it impacts the team's performance, while others argue it’s a myth. You’re going to see how home-field/court advantage plays a huge role in a team's success.
Having home field/court advantage may seem like a minor deal to most people, but to the average player, it’s critical. Having home field/court advantage to players means sleeping in your bed one more night, being with their families for a few more hours, and most of all, getting to play in front of 60,000 people that are cheering for you. In the NBA, from 1998-2008 home teams won 7,021 games, while only losing 4,569 games, which translates to a winning percentage of 60.9%. During the same period of time, home teams in the playoffs won 513 games, while only losing 278 games, which gives home teams a 64.9% win rate in the playoffs at home.
Now to address some of the differences between playing at home vs. on the road. When at home from 2003-2011 compared to road games, teams decreased their turnovers by 3.1% per game, increased scoring by 3.4%, and decreased fouls by 4.7%. Another huge factor that goes into the home v. away wins ratio is the referee bias and the psychological impact of playing at home. Multiple studies have shown that if a crowd is more vocal and loud about calls the referee is making, then the referee is more likely to make calls in the home team's favor. The home team believes that home court advantage gives them a psychological edge on their opponent, simply because they believe it. The power of belief can really affect your state of mind and enhance your performance. In conclusion, NBA home court advantage gives you a higher probability of winning.
Switching to another huge sport that draws thousands of fans out every night: baseball. The baseball playoffs are by far the most difficult to reach among the major sports in the world, mainly because only 10 teams are able to qualify. From 2003-2012 there were a total of seventy playoff games and the teams with home-field advantage won thirty-seven of those seventy games which comes out to 51%. Home-field advantage virtually has no effect in baseball. This is because baseball is based more on how much momentum a team has versus the fans.
Home-field advantage doesn’t play a huge role in baseball due to the fact of the extremely long series and season. No other sport has 162 regular season games, and baseball is a sport that is based on two things: talent and streaks. Even the best players in the game have cold streaks, but it helps even more when a player is on a hot streak because it boosts a player's confidence. Now, despite the numbers not being in favor of the home-field advantage, players still say that it makes them feel more confident when playing in front of their own fans.
The last sport worth analyzing is football. In the span of twenty years (2002-2022) the home team has won 56% of its games. Twenty franchises have consistently enjoyed a home-field probability win that was over 50%. A team that has been a great example of this, is the New England Patriots, and they have had an 83% win rate at home over the last twenty years. Weighing the factors that determine home-field advantage in the NFL is largely up for debate. After analyzing the data, it seems like climate has a huge impact on which team performs better. For example, if the Dolphins are playing the Patriots at home in December, the Patriots are going to be heavily favored due to their ability to cope with the frigid cold weather. The top five teams in the NFL with the highest win percentage at home currently are all located in America’s coldest cities. Practicing and competing and practicing in these conditions on a daily basis gives these franchises a huge advantage when playing other teams from warmer regions.
Some stadiums and teams are packed with screaming fans and other teams that don’t have great attendance blast automated crowd noises from speakers. It’s hard to assess how much a dry home crowd affects the quality of play for these teams. On the other hand, if there is a packed home crowd, it’s more likely to create a biased environment, which then pressures referees to throw more flags that favor the home team. Whether it’s the referees actually throwing more flags that game or not, the pressure from the crowd may unconsciously affect the officials' decisions. To put a stat to this, in the 2019 season there were a total of 3,452 flags thrown, and an average of 13.48 flags thrown per game, and about 7.5 of those flags given out were in favor of the home team. Whatever elements came into play, teams have historically won more games at home. Home advantage definitely has a substantial effect in the NFL.
The reasonable thing to say is that home-field advantage shows itself more in some sports than others. For example, in the NBA the Chicago Bulls have had the best fan attendance, which has led to the highest win percentage. That’s due to the Michael Jordan era, and so many Bulls fans today grew up with the Bulls dynasty. The Bulls have had a consistent over 500 record, with the exception of a few seasons due to very talented players, but also by having the best home fans in the league. Home field/court advantage is definitely a factor at play for professional sports teams when competing.
By Avner Belsky